Though Arnold didn't provide any business update since the December earnings call, he indicated Carnival isn't worried about China's economy impacting the cruise industry now or long-term. That's because the economy there is still growing 5% to 6% annually, the cruise industry is expanding from a small base and there's strong Chinese government support for cruising.
Further port development is desired, and distribution and consumer awareness remain the priorities for developing the cruise sector.
According to Wells Fargo, Donald indicated Carnival sees the UK economy strengthening, stability in Germany, growth in Spain from a very depressed base and mixed trends in Italy.
Despite modestly higher capacity growth in the Caribbean, Carnivla feels confident about the region in 2016 and beyond, the brokerage said in a note. Marketing and deployment moves are driving demand and in future, ongoing marketing, collaboration among Carnival brands on deployment and Cuba's opening will be key.
Wells Fargo said Carnival believes there's support in the Obama administration and Congress to lift economic and travel restrictions but politics will likely keep this from happening until after the 2016 election. Plus, the Cuban government is expected to take a gradual approach on the number of US tourists allowed to enter.
Wells Fargo reiterated its 'outperform' (buy) rating on CCL and told investors 'fundamentals for the cruise industry remain constructive and valuations have become more attractive year to date.'
Carnival closed at $49.82 on Tuesday, up $1.02.