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Wells Fargo: CCL not worried about China economy or Caribbean

Carnival Corp. is not worried about China's stock market fluctuations and slowing economy impacting the still small cruise sector, while the situation in Europe varies by country and the Caribbean is expected to continue doing well. These conclusions are from investor meetings with Carnival ceo Arnold Donald, hosted by Wells Fargo Securities in New York on Tuesday.

Anne Kalosh, Editor, Seatrade Cruise News & Senior Associate Editor, Seatrade Cruise Review

January 27, 2016

1 Min Read
Credit: Seatrade Cruise News

Though Arnold didn't provide any business update since the December earnings call, he indicated Carnival isn't worried about China's economy impacting the cruise industry now or long-term. That's because the economy there is still growing 5% to 6% annually, the cruise industry is expanding from a small base and there's strong Chinese government support for cruising.

Further port development is desired, and distribution and consumer awareness remain the priorities for developing the cruise sector.

According to Wells Fargo, Donald indicated Carnival sees the UK economy strengthening, stability in Germany, growth in Spain from a very depressed base and mixed trends in Italy.

Despite modestly higher capacity growth in the Caribbean, Carnivla feels confident about the region in 2016 and beyond, the brokerage said in a note. Marketing and deployment moves are driving demand and in future, ongoing marketing, collaboration among Carnival brands on deployment and Cuba's opening will be key.

Wells Fargo said Carnival believes there's support in the Obama administration and Congress to lift economic and travel restrictions but politics will likely keep this from happening until after the 2016 election. Plus, the Cuban government is expected to take a gradual approach on the number of US tourists allowed to enter.

Wells Fargo reiterated its 'outperform' (buy) rating on CCL and told investors 'fundamentals for the cruise industry remain constructive and valuations have become more attractive year to date.'

Carnival closed at $49.82 on Tuesday, up $1.02.

 

About the Author

Anne Kalosh

Editor, Seatrade Cruise News & Senior Associate Editor, Seatrade Cruise Review

Anne Kalosh covers global stories, reporting both breaking and in-depth news on cruising's significant people, places, ships and trends. A sought-after expert on cruising, she has moderated conferences around the world, including the high-profile State of the Industry panel at Seatrade Cruise Global. She created and led the acclaimed itinerary-planning case study for Seatrade's cruise master classes held at Cambridge and Oxford universities. She has been the cruise columnist for AFAR.com, and her freelance stories have appeared in a wide range of publications, from The New York Times to The Miami Herald.

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